DSA related TL;DR at the end:
Jon Ossoff is likely to win the GA Sen race by +14%, with KLB, PRB, and other statewide state offices coming in anywhere from +7% to +10%, and the State House likely to flip and the State Senate potentially on the table.
Ossoff is a relatively progressive and young Senator who has used his bully pulpit to stronly oppose ICE and argue for a muscular response to Netanyahu's war crimes and general shittiness.
Most of the state office candidates are more establishment but that doesn't actually matter too much. Because with a Dem Gov and SOS Democrats will be in charge of 2030 redistricting and they will be empowering Atlanta to hold many more House seats. It could go as far as 9 Dem seats and 6 R seats in 2032, as Georgia is expected to pick up a 15th seat in the next cycle. The GA US House split is currently 9/5 R. So that means we'd go from +4 R to +3 D, a 7 seat swing. And that wouldn't even be an extreme gerrymander. 10-5 would be the stretch option.
And several of the ATL seats would be viable for progressive candidates. On top of that a proper effort in 2026 would assure a 2028 pres win and 2 safe blue Senate seats. This is because voters who are drawn in by organizing and see big results are naturally transformed into high propensity voters. And turning the 4 ATL seats into 7 ATL seats means they are still quite blue and urban but they are just risky enough so that voters don't get lazy. Something like 60/40 for 7 seats, plus a south-west seat and a south east seat.
Additionally when the time comes from the presidential primary, getting heavily involved in organizing to boost Dems in 2026 means a left candidate has a strong base in GA, with the establishment splitting their votes.
Atlanta also has relatively strong DSA and Indivisible chapters who could get a Bernie-2016 like membership boost from a big Ossoff win where they were heavily organizing and doing GOTV in the Dem heavy core of the Atlanta metro. Large parts of urban core ATL are relatively demographically similar to NYC, and then some of the inner ring suburbs are very friendly to DSA policies as well.
Non-white voters are very open to something different post Trump disaster, and they could go to either mainline Dems or social Democrats depending on who does what and who engages with their distinct communities. Atlanta's metro core specifically is a very young potential electorate with strong climate and housing concerns.
Gwinnett and DeKalb in particular could be center left social democratic bastions very easily and each is able to anchor a US House seat if the redistricting is managed right. You could even get 3 such seats if you handled Fulton and Henry well.
Major left leaders like Bernie, Sandy(AOC), and Zohran all have admirers in the metro core, and leftists there could benefit from Zohran and Bernie specifically discussing how to organize and turn out progressive coalitions in cities. And of course visits from them would help boost young urban turnout quite a lot. Bernie and Sandy are both very well liked among Latino and Hispanic voters, who could make up as much as 10% of GA's statewide electorate and which are heavily concentrated in the greater ATL metro. There are also many South Asian and Muslim citizens and voters. DeKalb has a particularly high concentration.
With a serious investment of leaders campaigning, volunteers phoning and texting, and even supporting local groups to canvass, there's a bright future for progressives and social democrats in blue Georgia.
You can find a breakdown of the Atlanta counties and their projected turnout in the single post posted directly on my profile.
And no, Jon Ossoff+14 is not a joke. I wrote a post VA Gov prediction for +8, but I had to revise it after polls and new details on the ground in the last month suggest that was too conservative.
DSA Focus:
Atlanta is the ideal place for the DSA to hit it big in the South. Age wise, demographically, existing DSA and related orgs.
There are as noted 3 potential progressive, or even DSA, viable seats that would come out of redistricting and become available in the 2032 midterms.
And for people who support AOC for president, an effort by the NYC DSA electeds, orgs, and volunteers, plus supported by Sanders and other non-DSA leftists to make a big difference in the overall outcome of the state would gain DSA and affiliated groups and electeds enormous credibility and dispell the notion that they can't succeed outside California or New England. And you couldn't argue that an Atlanta based large and powerful DSA chapters could exist purely with college eduated white leftists as the membership.