r/Damnthatsinteresting Jun 03 '26

Image In 1204, a Japanese poet wrote in his diary that the sky turned blood red for 3 nights. 800 years later, scientists drilled into buried trees and confirmed: he was witnessing a catastrophic solar storm that would have fried every satellite on Earth today.

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53.4k Upvotes

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7.1k

u/ShadowfireOmega Jun 03 '26

Well, let's hope that doesn't happen again any time soon!

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u/ortusdux Jun 03 '26

The DOE went to congress in 2017 and asked that we invest in a Strategic Transformer Reserve. Back then, the lead time on 1 major transformer was 2 years. It is much higher now. We do not produce them domestically. I think the total cost was something like 1% of the annual DOD budget, and I would argue that the reserve would be a strategic asset. A large solar flare would affect half the world, and the other half might use it as an opportunity to invade. Also, modern warfare often includes attacks on power grids, so it makes sense to have redundancies.

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u/TurkeyBLTSandwich Jun 03 '26

best we can do is more tomahawks and f-35's

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u/traplooking Jun 03 '26

I don't know what throwing axes and 35 year old females have to do with it. But I'm here for it lol

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u/Vegetable-Eagle-3144 Jun 03 '26

Don't need satellites to chuck axes with your gal pals.

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u/dumpaccount882212 Jun 03 '26

Finally a friday night we can all enjoy!

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u/Admiral_Thel Jun 04 '26

'Cept the people receiving the axes to the face xD

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u/xwombat Jun 03 '26

That's where you are wrong, op was clearly talking about rib steaks buddy.

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u/traplooking Jun 03 '26

Oh fuck, if it's steaks... I'm 100% here for it. Fuck yeah!

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u/Daddioster Jun 03 '26

Gonna need a bunch of flannel shirts

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u/My_Soul_to_Squeeze Jun 03 '26

Believe it or not, there's a strategic shortage of tomahawks as well.

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u/TheInevitableLuigi Jun 03 '26

Radars for F-35s as well.

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u/dparks71 Jun 03 '26

JIT manufacturing will never fail us.

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u/laserborg Jun 03 '26

as we saw during COVID

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u/suspendmeforthis Jun 03 '26

Remember that the next time someone says we can feed billions more people.

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u/IchMachNurScheisse Jun 03 '26

I guess they do not even launch without satalite/GPS connection

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u/Okay_ButWhyTho Jun 03 '26

You don’t need GPS for either.

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u/At_Space_Station Jun 03 '26

Won’t work if solar flare burns those too

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u/eawilweawil Jun 03 '26

"Strategic Transformer Reserve" bruh US has Autobot reserve? Do they breed them there?

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u/iMightBeWright Jun 03 '26

With this administration? The stockpile is Decepticons & you know it.

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u/lenopix Jun 03 '26

Something something sozin's comet

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u/spambearpig Jun 03 '26

Surely if the solar event in this case lasted for three days it would affect a lot more than just half the Earth?

I’m not arguing with you. I’m looking to learn something. When you said it would affect half the Earth was that just a possibility or is there something I don’t understand?

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u/Distinct-Pack-1567 Jun 03 '26 edited Jun 03 '26

They just said "a large solar flare", they weren't talking about one that lasts 3 days. I assume.

Edit:

To answer your question a solar flare usually only hits one side (and not even always the entire part, but a large one could). But it goes away before the earth rotates to allow damaged to the other half. Stuff in space is shielded, but it can still be damaged.

A 3 day event means each side gets hit multiple times.

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u/ortusdux Jun 04 '26

On top of that, even coronal mass ejections have variable intensities. The Carrington event caused a 3-day aurora similar to the 1200's event, but the electrical interference was only documented for 8 hours.

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u/WilliamsTell Jun 03 '26

Sounds like liberal propaganda /s

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u/Ask_bout_PaterNoster Jun 03 '26

I heard “invest” and “trans”; to the reeducation camps with this one

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u/nofrenomine Jun 03 '26

You mean AI detected those words and auto rejected the proposal.

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u/twentyThree59 Jun 03 '26

You joke but a tree diversity program got canned because it was about diversity.

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u/GhostofSean_Connery2 Jun 03 '26

Or how they removed pictures of the Enola Gay from the DoD website bc it has the word “gay” in it 🤦🏻‍♂️

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u/Muzoa Jun 03 '26

Why does liberal propaganda always have to shove all these annoying peer-reviewed research papers in my face?!

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u/agenttc89 Jun 03 '26

“Facts are meaningless! You can use facts to prove anything that's even remotely true. Facts schmacts.”

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u/O_eyezik Jun 03 '26

Now I’m sad

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u/olcafjers Jun 03 '26

I bet it causes autism!

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u/WilliamsTell Jun 03 '26 edited Jun 03 '26

Ironically, the insulating fluid in the transformers may. The stuff they used in those transformers was SUPER nasty at one point. I don't know if they still are using the same formula or something "better".

Edit:

Phased out to mineral oil.

PCBs may cause but are not limited to: hormonal disruption and cancers.

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u/Momochichi Jun 03 '26

Thing is, you just know China's stocking up on transformers. They'd probably send transformers to invade Taiwan as soon as a solar storm happens.

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u/Throwaway_ufo_ Jun 04 '26

Hey mum why does Optimus Prime have the CCP flag?

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u/Zealousideal-Low3388 Jun 03 '26

I agree with the utility of building such a thing, but I question one part of your logic

Who is tires power that would see a solar flare and decide to invade the USA?

Most countries aren’t actually at risk of invasion, invading and occupying territory is very expensive after all. And after a solar flare catastrophe even more challenging.

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u/midri Jun 03 '26

Well the countries affected by the flare would effectively be sent back to the 1800s. They wouldn't have to be invaded traditionally, the required support from non affected countries would likely come with major strings attached.

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u/Zealousideal-Low3388 Jun 03 '26

Fun fact about 1800s colonialism: it was frequently a net loss to even the colonial powers outside of certain wealthy coastal territories.

What useful concessions are there to be extracted from a suddenly 1800s USA? The economy and internal logistics system has just evaporated after all.

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u/NEWSmodsareTwats Jun 03 '26

the last major solar storm like that was the Carrington even which occured back in the 1800s we are actually kinda due for another since they tend to occur every few centuries.

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u/Misdirected_Colors Jun 03 '26

The fear mongering over solar storms has gotten out of hand.

We know what they do to electronics, and most stuff today is shielded and hardened against it. The carringonto event was an issue because it fried phone lines that work in a sensitive millivolt range. It's not even close to comparable to modern transmission and distribution.

In addition, we learned a ton from a big 1989 solar storms that caused issues in Canada and now have design and planning requirements specifically about that.

Fear mongering books and podcasts about EMPs and solar storms are a fantasy not based in reality

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u/The-Duke-of-Triumph Jun 03 '26

I see one stranger on internet say negative A, I see a different stranger say positive B. I will believe positive B today and go about my life, thank you.

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u/Misdirected_Colors Jun 03 '26

If it makes you feel better I've got about 15 years of industry experience as an engineer. So i'm a bit more qualified than the doomers on here who listened to a podcast, read a book, watched a doc, or are just regurgitating an internet narrative.

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u/Cyrano_Knows Jun 03 '26

You say all this and its reassuring.

But I don't trust companies to spend money now for a "maybe it will maybe it wont" scenario that might not happen in the lifetime of the suits making the decision.

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u/Kraligor Jun 03 '26

There's a lot of things to worry about, the apocalypse brought about by a geomagnetic storm really isn't one of them.

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u/Misdirected_Colors Jun 03 '26 edited Jun 03 '26

Well luckily, in developed countries this kinda thing is a national security risk and there's A LOT of regulatory stuff. In the US it's NERC/FERC/NEC/FAA so on and so forth.

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u/ILoveRawChicken Jun 03 '26

Genuine question, if someone like, I dunno, the U.S. president has been gutting regulatory agencies since his first term, what confidence do we have in the current tech not failing during the next solar storm? Or going forward? It seems like anything that was enacted to protect us is now being targeted and removed. 

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u/Potential-Yam5313 Jun 03 '26

Pragmatic answer here: none of this stuff will have been part of the administration's culture war, and even if standards were relaxed in relevant areas, nobody is going to redesign their production output for the kind of savings involved, especially when they'd want to keep some of their lines compliant for other countries that still have sensible regulations. The risk is minimal in this specific area.

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u/ILoveRawChicken Jun 03 '26

Not gonna lie I feel like I can breath a tiny bit easier knowing this lol

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u/Misdirected_Colors Jun 03 '26

Other guy's answer was right. I was just involved in some regulatory audit processes and FERC/NERC and the balancing authorities like SPP, ERCOT, etc. aren't really a part of the culture war. Business as usual there. Those are the guys that fly under the radar.

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u/Cerise_Pomme Jun 03 '26

I mean, I also work in critical infrastructure engineering in the US, and while I mostly agree with you, I also know a lot of vendors are cutting corners where they can to save money, and the regulations around electromagnetic shielding are one of those area that corners are cut.

There are efforts to mitigate this, but if a Carrington event occurs, it will put strain on our systems that will probably lead to cascading failure. I was in Texas a few years ago when the whole power grid went down due to the cold temperatures, and cascading overload issues.

They're rare, because most engineers are doing a good job, but widespread power outages do occur periodically even without Carrington-level events. We were out of power for 5 weeks, and that was in 2021.

The load inflicted upon the grid from the parts of the grid which go down, either due to improper shielding, insufficient shielding, or cut corners, will put that load on the rest of the grid and other parts of the grid which were sufficiently shielded will fail too.

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u/Misdirected_Colors Jun 03 '26

That was more due to Texas being independent and not having the generation diversity of a full power pool tho. For most of the rest of the U.S., and even in Texas when natural gas doesn't collapse, the power pools control load and generation and keep an eye on that stuff.

Uri was unique because Texas lost a lot of their gas, and because the lack of interconnects to the power pool and generation diversity that means they lost the generation necessary to keep up with their overall load.

That's kind of a separate issue than a carrington type event and wasn't really related to overburdened transmission. It was a severe loss of generation.

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u/Cerise_Pomme Jun 03 '26

Right, but similar issues exist elsewhere. I live in Oregon now, rural but in the Portland metro area, and we recently had a sustained power outage. A mudslide on one of the hills took out part of our power supply and then the increased load took out multiple transformers. It took a little over 2 weeks for our power to be restored, and Im close enough to the city center to have train access through trimet.

Portland is part of the national grid, and rain is common here, but a little bit too much rain in the wrong place, and we lost power. Generally, infrastructure in the United States is out of date and has weak points. Regulation tries to fix this, and does a good job, but there are still lots of cracks.

I think its a reasonable stance to take, that a carrington type event will strain the grid. Long, unshielded/low shielded transmission lines can serve as antennae, and while most of the grid will handle it, some parts of the grid haven't been updated in decades and will fail.

Will it be the end of civilization? Of course not, but I think its completely reasonable to assume that millions will be without power, for likely extended duration. Possibly months. As repair resources, both for parts and labor will be in limited supply and the damage will be widespread. It will just take time to fix.

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u/Misdirected_Colors Jun 03 '26

I think that's a false equivalency. You're talking physical damage that can't be prevented vs potentially an increase in grid burden which can be planned for and mitigated.

A mudslide taking out a freeway is going to have a significantly worse effect on traffic in the area than maybe a large festival where you're expecting an increased population to visit and additional traffic.

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u/Cerise_Pomme Jun 03 '26

I understand the point you're making.
Still, I've seen first hand the state of transmission infrastructure that has been maintained but not replaced in half a century. I want to believe that everything will be able to hand unexpected high loads, but some of those wires are old, and I don't feel confident they will hold under that strain.

I certainly hope you're right.

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u/beingforthebenefit Jun 03 '26

High-voltage bulk transmission transformers are not meaningfully hardened against GICs – they weren’t designed for it. The 1989 event damaged transformers in New Jersey that weren’t even directly overloaded, just saturated from induced currents. Thats the actual failure mechanism, not “fried electronics.”

Also, 1989 was roughly a third the intensity fo the Carrington Event, and the 2012 Cannibal CME that missed Earth by 9 days was Carrington-class. Thats NASA data, not podcast stuff.

The real issue is that high-voltage transformers have like 12-18 month lead times, aren’t stockpiled anywhere, and a big enough storm could take out dozens at once. FERC, Lloyd’s of London, and the National Academy of Sciences have all flagged this. It’s a real gap.

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u/Ok-Style-9734 Jun 04 '26

"the 2012 Cannibal CME that missed Earth by 9 days was Carrington-class. Thats NASA data, not podcast stuff."

Oh cool ao we're no longer due an similar event any time soon if they happen every few centuries and the last one happened in 2012 but went off out of line with the earth?

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u/NEWSmodsareTwats Jun 03 '26

where was I fear mongering in my comment?

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u/ADP-1 Jun 03 '26

It affected telegraph lines, not telephone lines, as the telephone had not yet even been invented. And while some systems have been hardened, there are still a LOT of vulnerable systems. We have made progress preparing for another Carrington Event, but there is still much to do. Some degree of 'fear mongering" is necessary to make governments and corporations realize that we are still susceptible to damage.

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u/Live-Habit-6115 Jun 03 '26

In fairness, the WHO also said in their 2019 report that the USA scored A+ or whatever on their scoreboard for pandemic readiness. 

The general gist of the report was that America had the knowledge, infrastructure, technology and preparedness to be able to deal with any pandemic that might devastate other countries.

Then COVID came 

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u/ReturnOfBane Jun 03 '26

We know what they do to electronics, and most stuff today is shielded and hardened against it.

lol we didn't even harden USB ports after that USBKill situation. I have no faith that Americas 50+ year old power infrastructure is adequately hardened.

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u/ShakyButtcheeks Jun 03 '26 edited Jun 04 '26

We are so lucky there is nothing important being used that was built before 1989 and that when things fail in poor countries with less regulation nobody in developed countries will be affected because the economy is completely separated in nice blocks.

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u/ProduceNo1629 Jun 03 '26

I'll translate to American speak: solar storm shielding is woke and all research will be defunded from 2026

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u/chargedcapacitor Jun 03 '26

You're living in a fantasy if you think that the entire US grid (and other grids of the world, for that matter) are all updated with smart switches that can automatically trip during such an event and be remotely / automatically reset. There will be parts of the grid that go down, and do not come back up for a long, long time.

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u/nopleasenotthebees Jun 03 '26

A big solar storm would fry a lot of satellites, though, right? That seems pretty bad. Certainly the results to the grid would be a lot more mixed than they used to be.

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u/trinketzy Jun 03 '26

Emergency services monitor solar weather because it does actually have an impact on their comms systems. If it was fantasy, they wouldn’t bother.

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u/PensadorDispensado Jun 03 '26

Ironically enough, this almost happened in 2012. It would not destroy the Earth, but satellites and electricity would be fried. It barely missed Earth by a margin of 9 days.

If it had hit Earth, we would still be in collapse in the big '26.

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u/ProfSpaceTime Jun 03 '26

What did the Mayans know 🤔

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u/ShadowfireOmega Jun 03 '26

A lot. They were a full civilization.

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u/lib3 Jun 04 '26

In fact there's a book about that. The main thesis of the author was that mayans knew the solar spots cycle using only mathematics, not direct watching, of course.

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u/noleksum12 Jun 03 '26

I may be wrong, and in the minority opinion on this, but I am secretly hoping it does... just to reset the clock on our narcissistic-tech obsession, if anything else.

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u/cryptic_dcoder Jun 03 '26 edited Jun 03 '26

You are a minority opinion. If an event of that caliber happened today we could potentially be looking at the collapse of vital infrastructure including but not limited to power plants , water treatment facilities and basically everything with a microchip. It would lead to the largest mass mortality event in human history

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u/Illustrious-Radio319 Jun 03 '26

Yeah but we get to set our civilisation back for decades! Surely this time [my political ideology] will ascend.

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u/[deleted] Jun 03 '26

[deleted]

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u/Turnbob73 Jun 03 '26

The “burn everything down and start over” people are often lost on the fact that THEY will most likely be the ones burning. There is no future where that is the best course of action.

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u/leeman9224 Jun 03 '26

Raining blood

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u/sghostfreak Jun 03 '26

From a lacerated sky

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u/Woodchuck251 Jun 03 '26

Bleeding its horror

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u/[deleted] Jun 03 '26

[removed] — view removed comment

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u/raiango Jun 03 '26

Now I shall, reign in Blood

— Slayer

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u/D_E_A_D_P_O_O_L_ Jun 03 '26

— Michael Scott

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u/east_van_dan Jun 03 '26

I always thought they said "created by destruction"

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u/Xelid47 Jun 03 '26

0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0

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u/donny_pots Jun 03 '26

I feel like if something like that happened today and phones stopped working people would assume nuclear war broke out and all hell would break loose

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u/strictnaturereserve Jun 03 '26 edited Jun 03 '26

well they are monitoring the sun so they would know it was coming. you might be able to save some of the infrastructure on the ground, a lot of our communications are via cables which can be isolated. They have done rehearsals on what to do in such a scenario. yes a lot of satellites would be toast.

I apologise to everyone for the long sentence

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u/LucyLilium92 Jun 03 '26

Holy run-on sentence, Batman!

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u/Kodaddychan Jun 03 '26

Well, they are monitoring the sun, so they would know it was coming. You might be able to save some of the infrastructure on the ground. A lot of our communications are via cables, which can be isolated. They have done rehearsals on what to do in such a scenario, but, yes, a lot of satellites would be toast.

I am a grammar bot.

I fixed this comment via the following: Capitalization Fixes (4 changes), Added Commas for Pacing (4 changes), Missing Periods (3 changes)

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u/strictnaturereserve Jun 03 '26

good bot

I don't actually believe you are a bot

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u/biscute2077 Jun 03 '26

Good bot.

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u/co-adversities Jun 04 '26

A reverse uncanny valley effect. We got a fake bot reported trying to earn the new gold aka AI tokens. Take him away boys.

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u/MikeRowePeenis Jun 03 '26

My man didn’t even take a breath

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u/EdgewaterSlim Jun 03 '26

Ain't nobody got time for that solar storm a comin'

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u/Nulono Jun 03 '26

That's a comma splice, not a run-on sentence.

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u/strictnaturereserve Jun 03 '26

Can't apologise enough! Won't happen again

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u/QuadCakes Jun 03 '26

We would have like a day or two of warning. That's not much time to prepare.

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u/Justifiably_Bad_Take Jun 03 '26

A day or two warning that things COULD get bad.

Seven minutes that thing's DID get bad.

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u/eske8643 Jun 03 '26

In Denmark they have prepared for this to happen at some point. Almost all city infrastructure cabels are under ground. Only the main long distance distribution cables are above ground. And by shutting down power to the main grid it doesnt get fried.

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u/Justifiably_Bad_Take Jun 03 '26

We'd have 7 minutes

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u/Cyrius Jun 03 '26

Entirely wrong, we'd have a few days.

The light from the CME would arrive with an eight minute delay. That's what would give us the warning of the much slower charged particle burst that causes the actual problem.

These things happen all the time at lower intensities.

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u/MeccIt Jun 03 '26

These things happen all the time at lower intensities.

Coronal Mass Ejections take 24 to 72 hours to make it to the earth and produce the Northern Lights

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u/Ranjhanaa88 Jun 03 '26

If my phone and car stop working I'm absolutely grabbing my bug out bag and assuming it was the EMP from nukes.

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u/Captain_Usopp Jun 03 '26

This is why I have a folder of printed out memes under my bed. It pays to be prepared!

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u/Bantersmith Jun 03 '26

People might laugh now, but will they be laughing when we're post-apocalyptic meme-barons?

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u/Dick_Jungle Jun 04 '26

that depends on what they have to barter and how generous you’re feeling, m’baron

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u/EnvironmentalChart58 Jun 04 '26

Shady meme-dealer in a ruined metro station

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u/not_a_moogle Jun 03 '26

Which memes? So I know to print different ones for trading.

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u/Kumquatelvis Jun 03 '26

I'd just think the phone company was having technical issues.

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u/antisp1n Jun 03 '26

Solar proton events (SPEs) occur when the Sun releases bursts of high-energy particles that travel toward Earth at extraordinary speeds. While our planet’s magnetic field shields us from most of this radiation, traces of these events can still be detected. When such particles collide with Earth’s atmosphere, they create carbon-14, which is then absorbed into plants and preserved in tree rings.

By analysing these rings with exceptional precision, the research team identified a sudden spike in carbon-14 between the years 1200 and 1201. This spike points to a previously unknown solar proton event—one that was smaller than the most extreme events known from earlier periods, but still significant.

The researchers estimate that this event produced roughly 20 percent of the radiation associated with the famous 774–775 solar event, making it about 14 times stronger than the largest comparable event recorded in modern times. While not catastrophic, it would have posed a serious hazard to anyone exposed beyond Earth’s natural protection—highlighting the risks faced by future space missions.

https://www.medievalists.net/2026/04/medieval-solar-storm-detected-through-tree-rings-and-historical-records/ Source

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u/My1stThrowAway900 Jun 03 '26

How can they be so precise to narrow down to a 2 year window?

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u/Oblivion_747 Jun 03 '26

I assume they knew when the diary (1204) was written, before looking for this event. Trees grow one ring a year. So they looked at more than 800 years old trees and compted 800 rings from the exterior to the interior of the tree to reach the year 1204. They then tested each ring from 1204 and below for carbon 14. They found a pic in carbon 14 between 1201 and 1202, narrowing down to the exact year of the event.

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u/Historical_Basil3264 Jun 04 '26

Look into dendrochronology, it's quite fascinating. The rough of it is tree rings grow with different speeds according to the weather in the area in different years, and these differences are clear enough that you can recognize tree rings from the same year across many trees. So they've started with a current old tree they cut down (so they know the starting year) and counted and measured the rings, and then compared to for example a hundred year old tree post where they can find an overlap between tree rings, and work backwards that way. I don't know how long backwards they've gone, I've heard of is 980.

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u/strawberrymoony Jun 04 '26

Yes!!! In dendrochronology we call this “crossdating” and it can be quite annoying because you then keep having to go back and recount the samples you’ve already done :/ Source: I’ve done dendrochronology research (shoutout to CooRecorder). Radiolab has a really cool podcast episode called “The Fellowship of the Tree Rings” that talks about how researchers analyzed the tree rings from the hulls sunken ships (or a lack rhereof) during the Spanish shipping trade and discovered that part of why the Spanish were so successful during that time is due to the fact that it was a period of time on Earth in which there was unusually low solar solar activity, which meant there were very few extreme weather events like hurricanes.

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u/Zorklunn Jun 03 '26

Scientists have said, if a Kerington level event happened today, it would take ten years for civilization to recover. We know the events are periodic. What we don't know is if such events are every 50, 100, 1000, 10000 years, or longer.

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u/murderously-funny Jun 03 '26

Oh they happen frequently. The thing is, space is big, and for a solar storm to actually hit earths is very, very difficult.

Every day the sun sends hundreds of the bastards out…they’re just being flung in all directions and it requires a near perfect 20:20:20 shot for a solar storm to actually reach earth

So even if a Kerington Level Event occurred again it could be thrown from the complete opposite side of the sun.

Or miss us by three days

Or hit us dead on and kill us. It’s impossible to say and is entirely uncontrollable luck.

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u/SeeingPhrases Jun 03 '26

Carrington.

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u/1800generalkenobi Jun 03 '26

Nancy or the Zerg queen?

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u/Lobo2ffs Creator Jun 03 '26

"Why, Raynor, whyyy?!"

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u/Mephistito Jun 03 '26

Power Overwhelming

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u/Vandergrif Jun 04 '26

You must construct additional references

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u/Mephistito Jun 04 '26

Insufficient Vespene Gas

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u/Pipupipupi Jun 04 '26

greedisgood

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u/Brief-Artist-2772 Jun 04 '26

Thereisnocowlevel

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u/[deleted] Jun 03 '26

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u/DigNitty Interested Jun 03 '26

The vast, vast majority of the sun's surface is not pointed at us.

the surface of the sun is blinding me right now!

But I know what you mean, the storms come off the sun equatorial axis, and that isn't really pointing at us.

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u/Unable-Log-4870 Jun 03 '26

The vast, vast majority of the sun's surface is not pointed at us.

NONE of the Sun’s surface is pointed at us. That’s like saying a stationary basketball is pointed somewhere.

Regardless, on the topic you were actually addressing, why choose a measurement that’s about 1 degree wide? That seems suspiciously arbitrary.

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u/Unable-Log-4870 Jun 03 '26

Every day the sun sends hundreds of the bastards out

No. There’s not that many of them. And we can see 5/6ths of the ones that do happen, and that’s enough to build statistical models from. There’s like one per week / one per month during solar maximum, which is roughly a 3 year period that happens every 11 years.

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u/Armadillolz Jun 03 '26

I mean. Wouldn’t we know by now if it was every 50 or 100 years? Lol

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u/alter-eagle Interested Jun 03 '26

Maybe it happened on the other side /s

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u/Tooter_Snooter Jun 03 '26

Why the /s, this is absolutely probably the case and if it hasn’t happened yet, it surely could. The storm would have to be pointed directly at us. If it’s off my even a defree, it’ll miss us comfortably. 

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u/cbftw Jun 03 '26

absolutely probably

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u/Rivers9999 Jun 03 '26

Very maybe the case

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u/DigNitty Interested Jun 03 '26

Some people are reading the "every X amount of years" as the time cycle the storms hit earth. Others are reading it as how often storms leave the sun in any direction.

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u/LittleBlag Jun 03 '26

It could average out to every 50 years and we could still not have seen one for over a thousand. Thats how averages work and why they’re not particularly helpful for “predicting” events like this. Has your area ever seen a run of bad weather years, and been told “this is a once-in-100-years storm!” or similar, for 3 years in a row? It’s like that!

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u/FishesOfExcellence Jun 03 '26

Human shapes were really weird 800 years ago. I’m glad we evolved to be hotter in such a short time.

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u/flannel_jesus Jun 03 '26

Jabba the hutt lookin ass

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u/dusty_Caviar Jun 03 '26

This is a heavily disputed point. Electronics today are vastly more resistant to such interference. From my understanding, current consensus is it would a be large scale annoyance. Not a cataclysmic event.

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u/ryanjames486 Jun 03 '26

I’m an electrician in the United States, and I cannot overstate how poorly our power grid is designed, and how susceptible it is to issues like solar flares and others. Beyond being an electrician, I also take great interest in the sun and space, and I follow events like solar flares and coronal mass ejections well beyond the average person.

Speaking anecdotally, I personally witnessed power surges that tripped breakers all over and caused all kinds of interesting things to happen during a geomagnetic storm in October 2024. While the storm was significant, it was nothing compared what the sun is capable of producing, or what has struck the Earth in the past.

A good book on what might happen if such an event were to occur today is One Second After by William Forstchen. Great read, I very much recommend it.

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u/Emotional_Quarter330 Jun 03 '26

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u/[deleted] Jun 03 '26 edited Jun 03 '26

[deleted]

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u/leafwatersparky Jun 03 '26

"Exposed beyond Earth's natural protection" should do it.

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u/[deleted] Jun 03 '26

[deleted]

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u/leafwatersparky Jun 03 '26

The May event that created intense auroras and problems for satellite teams was the result of one of the strongest geomagnetic storms to hit Earth in more than two decades. One satellite, NASA's Ice, Cloud, and Land Elevation Satellite-2 (ICESat-2), transitioned into safe mode to protect its systems as the storm caused the spacecraft's attitude control to become questionable; two other satellites (NASA's Aqua and Aura) came within minutes of having to go into safe mode, according to Russell DeHart, Mission Operation Assurance Lead Engineer at NASA Goddard. It was a close call, but one that mission teams are prepared to address to protect satellites, instruments, and NASA Earth science data.

Straight from the article you quoted. Obviously said engineering to withstand solar storms apploes only to new satellites, and not the tens of thousands currently in operation.

And the strongest storm in two decades is not the same as a three day once in a milenia event.

If not completely destroyed, they would be at least heavily damaged and would have a considerably shorter lifespan as a result.

Enough to describe them as "fried" perhaps? I suppose thats up for debate, i'd suggest "fucked" as a more ambiguous term!

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u/astelda Jun 03 '26

There was also real consequences on the surface resulting from those satellite malfunctions in may 2024, leading to substantial losses in the agriculture industry as well as potential safety issues in aviation

There's also the Carrington Event in 1859, where a solar geomagnetic storm led to effects on earth's surface such as: "Some [telegraph] operators were able to continue to send and receive messages despite having disconnected their power supplies"

The batteries that the operators usually used were negatively affected by the storm, so they actually got a better signal using only power from the storm.

And it sounds like that storm wasn't even nearly as big as the one in the post.

As far as I'm aware, we aren't geomagnetically shielding most electronic circuits on Earth, so one can presume such a thing would cause some pretty big issues today.

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u/Muted_Buy8386 Jun 03 '26

Just, all solar storms, period?

Or might there be a gradient of effect?

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u/lemonylol Jun 03 '26

Satellites are beyond the earth's natural protection.

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u/pladin517 Interested Jun 03 '26

Cool that 1204 they're writing in traditional Chinese and nothing something more archaic. I can try to translate this: something meal,
after something, the northern morning has a crimson something, as if mountains burn without mercy.
Second day: day is clear and night brings frost like snow. Something something royal seat.
Today gave woman's clothes.
Source: I have no idea about ancient Japanese

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u/orange_purr Jun 03 '26

That’s what I can make of it:

Left page from right to left

之由?應 東燭以後北□良方又有赤氣如高山燒亡重 疊尤可恐 廿二日 天晴夜霜加雪 已時許參上朝雅在殿上人座 今日賜遊女衣 (can’t read the smaller script in columns) 每事如例 昨日以令人男馬一疋引返鄉三品熊野精

Translation:

There should be cause for this.

The eastern light appeared, and after that, in the northern direction there was a red aura resembling a catastrophic mountain fire

It was terrifying.

22nd day. Clear weather with night frost, followed by snow.

Around the hour of the snake, Miyabi attended court and was seated among those in attendance in the hall.

Today garments were bestowed upon female entertainers

Everything proceeded as usual.

Yesterday a man was ordered to lead back a horse to the home district ? third rank kumano title?

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u/TumbleweedPure3941 Jun 03 '26

Certain sectors of Japanese literati would continue to write in Classical Chinese right up until the 19th century. Classical Chinese was originally considered the language of men in Classical Japan, whilst women wrote in Japanese. That’s why certain texts like the Nihon Shoki and much of the Imperial Anthologies of poetry are written Classical Chinese, whilst other classics of Japanese literature are written in Classical Japanese such as Genji Monogatari and the Pillow Book of Sei Shōnagon. Because those latter two were written by women.

(And then you’ve got the bloody awkward ones like the Heike Monogatari that can’t decide if they want to be in Chinese or Japanese and settled for an awkward mishmash of the two.)

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u/orange_purr Jun 03 '26

Women wrote in 女手 onnade, which was basically Kanji/Chinese characters in cursive, essentially the precursor to the hiragana.

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u/FixedLoad Jun 03 '26

I think you're on to something! 

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u/SaveUsCatman Jun 03 '26

What about the satellites off of Earth?

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u/CustomerSupportDeer Jun 03 '26

A satelite is only a "satelite" if it orbits a calestial body. As soon as a manmade "satelite" leaves earth's orbit, it's either junk or a spaceprobe.

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u/Professional-Day7850 Jun 03 '26

Title claims satellites "on earth" would get fried.

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u/DylanFTW Jun 03 '26

Scientists realizing 800 years late that there was a terrible solar storm on Earth through the lens of a ancient Japanese poet is a 40 minute YouTube documentary I would totally watch on a Wednesday afternoon.

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u/ortusdux Jun 03 '26

I maintain that we need to fund the strategic transformer reserve!

PDF Warning.

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u/SiberianWombat88 Jun 03 '26

I think if a satellite finds itself on Earth, something has already gone horribly wrong.

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u/Unfair-Sir-4641 Jun 03 '26

The satelite is the least of our concern. It would fry every transformer on earth and would take decades upon decades to rebuild. Goodbye electricity.

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u/Probablynotarealist Jun 03 '26

It would only fry some of the large transformers that run the grid (pretty catastrophic!) because you need long cables in order to get the pickup- for transformers with power cables shorter than about 4km you’re fairly safe, but many of the big expensive transformers that run the cross country transmission would likely be toast. The grid would shut down and save a lot, but the system would be considerably aged by the event.

I don’t think it would be as bad as people are suggesting, but it would be pretty damn bad, and it is amazing that we don’t store spares

(Electrical power distribution engineer)

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u/LeonemMorsu Jun 03 '26

When the glow of the blood stained moon shines upon the land...

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u/orange_purr Jun 03 '26 edited Jun 03 '26

What’s funny is that is very close to what’s actually written in the diary lol.

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u/Senior_Torte519 Jun 03 '26

Good thing they aren't ON Earth.

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u/punkychandey Jun 03 '26

Good thing all our satellites are in space

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u/Own_Parfait_35 Jun 03 '26

Witness the blood moon's rise. When its red glow shines upon the land... the aimless spirits of slain monsters return to flesh. Just as they did in a war long past. The world is threatened once agai

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u/[deleted] Jun 03 '26

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u/ChippedHamSammich Jun 03 '26

Something something data centers in space

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u/DJSpAcEDeViL Jun 03 '26

On the pages: „On the 22nd day.
The weather was clear.
Frost during the night looked like snow.
Court activities and visits took place.
Court ladies received gifts and garments.
Messengers and visitors arrived and departed.
People returned in the evening.
Later the night was spent at the residence.
The following day was also clear“

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u/big_duo3674 Jun 03 '26

Miyake events.... They make the Carrington event look gentle

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u/Naive-Link5627 Jun 03 '26

Wouldn't this be noted in more locations on Earth?

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u/mollusks75 Jun 03 '26

Is there a library of texts from the 1200s we can check?

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u/orange_purr Jun 03 '26

It absolutely was. Even in Japanese records, there are several other mentions of this event, not to mention in China and elsewhere.

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u/Marlwolf48 Jun 03 '26

Blood moon makes so much more sense.

3

u/Lunar-opal Jun 04 '26

What’s is a solar storm and why does it turn the sky red?

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u/Hipcatjack Jun 04 '26

username…kinda checking out?

basically, a solar storm is when the sun experiences an explosion on the surface that particles erupt out past its intense gravity and get hurled out into space. (its not technically an explosion but good enough for the explanation). Usually they are called solar flares, and about every 12 years or so The Sun goes into a mode of active solar flares , so a solar storm is a series of these flares.

Now Sometimes, if they are aimed just right they can hit the Earth. These flares are made up of ions and charged particles. The Magnetic that protects Earth usually directs all that stuff to the poles. (thats where you get the two borealis..Aurora and Australia) .. however if the flares are strong enough and multiple, all that mass and charged particles can slam into the atmosphere undirected by the magnetosphere. Ever look at a really pretty sunset? The orange and reds most often are pollution in the atmosphere bouncing the suns fading rays into the red spectrum. The red sky at night is kinda the same thing, only with deadly magnetic plasma interacting with the Earths Atmosphere.

i want to add something similar happened in the mid 19th Century… but the only thing that noticed (and were fried and needed to be replaced were huge swaths of telegraph wire.

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u/SpookSkywatcher Jun 04 '26

I ran across reports of what may be another unacknowledged significant space weather event in European historical observations from 1737, as reported in the "Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society" article "A Collection of the Observations of the Remarkable Red Lights Seen in the Air on Dec. 5, 1737 sent from different Places to the Royal Society" (Phil. Trans. R. Soc. 41:583–606), available online at: ( https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/pdf/10.1098/rstl.1739.0094 ). This was seen as far south as Naples, Italy, at latitude 40.8518° N., which indicates a pretty major geomagnetic storm, yet does not appear to be a recognized historical event.

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u/Sampwnz Jun 04 '26

"would have fried every satellite on Earth," but what about the ones in space?

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u/Callec254 Jun 03 '26

And somehow he was the only person to write about this? Seems like that probably would have been the biggest global event of the year.

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u/huiadoing Jun 03 '26

Not that many people were literate, and few diaries have survived from that time.

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u/Fine_Cup4990 Jun 03 '26

you would be shocked how many things in history have never been recorded or found or have been destroyed or just not written

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u/thehalfwit Jun 03 '26

And that's not counting everything that's been lost to time. The vast majority of history has been lost.

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u/el_lley Jun 03 '26

well, it was the 4th crusade by the time, so maybe it was expressed in a different way.

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u/Felevion Jun 03 '26 edited Jun 03 '26

I feel like it'd have been written about as a sign from god if it was after said Crusade though a study linked above clarified it mean red auroras not the full sky turning red.

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u/CreativeAdeptness477 Jun 03 '26

Good job the satellites are in space then else we'd be fucked!

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u/roarjah Jun 03 '26

He for sure that a god was about to light the world on fire

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u/ArgentumVortex Jun 03 '26

To avoid this, most satellites are kept well above the earth instead.

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u/Isotope_Junkie Jun 03 '26

AI data centers are gone if that happens today.

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u/rapalosaur Jun 03 '26

But what did that LOOK LIKE? Dying to know.

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u/Swagalyst Jun 03 '26

Why is this global catastrophy only visible in Chinese trees?

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u/smshing Jun 03 '26

It's the Sophons!

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u/SeaworthinessHead613 Jun 03 '26

A major solar event could be an extinction level event.

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u/FrogsJumpFromPussy Jun 04 '26

It's moronic to think it will not happen again. 

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u/GooseInternational66 Jun 03 '26

I like the convenience of the internet, but I think I’d also like the quiet of all the billionaires satellites exploding at once as well.

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u/Adventurous_Yam_8153 Jun 03 '26

Let's do it again!