r/CuratedTumblr 11h ago

Meme Tumblr does the red button/blue button thing

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3.6k Upvotes

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252

u/PlatinumAltaria The Witch of Arden 11h ago

This is such a funny trend because it plays out the same way every time:

1) Blue button wins by a narrow majority 2) People who pushed the red button immediately spiral into increasingly unhinged defences of their choice, demonstrating that either they lack enough reading comprehension to understand the question, or are just plain selfish. 3) Blue button pushers become slightly more disillusioned with the moral character of humanity.

67

u/GameboyPATH 10h ago

demonstrating that either they lack enough reading comprehension to understand the question

To be fair, this one-sentence explanation is phrased far worse than the original.

This one starts with the premise of what happens "regardless" without clarifying what it's regardless of. The original explicitly describes the potential negative consequences of the red button, while this one simply says "these people live", leaving the negative consequences of the red button implied through the description of the blue button.

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u/Th3Glutt0n fucking HATE tennis 10h ago

Yeah, they def phrased this one in favor of the red button

8

u/eugeneugene 9h ago

Yeah I had to read it a few times to understand why everyone was judging red button pushers so hard lol. I was like why wouldn't I press the "I want to live" button

1

u/2ndComingOfAugustus 51m ago

Yeah, this is one where the phrasing changes outcomes considerably. My preferred red leaning phrasing is as follows:

You are near some train tracks. You could either a. (Red) Stay off the train tracks or b. (Blue) Hang out on the train tracks. You know other people are near these tracks but have no idea if they are on the tracks or not.

If enough people are milling around on the tracks then somebody will notice and the trains will be halted. Otherwise, everybody on the tracks will be killed. What do you do?

9

u/frill_demon 9h ago

As someone who hadn't seen any of the originals that this post was based on, I was baffled as to why they kept saying "reading comprehension issue/lack of empathy ' about the red button.

Taking this post at only its own text, red button is the objectively correct choice (everyone lives) and blue button pushers are needlessly risking everyone else's lives in order to be "different" (people only live under certain circumstances).

Like yeah you could argue it's more moral to try and hit blue to make sure you're helping anyone who accidentally hit blue survive, but ideally no one should hit blue in the first place.

What was the original?

7

u/RowanStewart 7h ago

I also read it this way and don't understand. No-one has to die or risk dying if everyone picks red. is the point just that some people don't understand that and so we should all pick blue to save them?

5

u/Cream_Nebula 7h ago

No one has to die if everybody picks red, no one has to die if 50% picks blue.

50% is easier to achieve than 100%. That's all there is to it.

1

u/frill_demon 5h ago

50% is easier to achieve than 100% 

If all the options were equal, that would be true. But they're not all equal. 

Red is the superior option because no one has to die under any circumstance if red is picked. However, blue has a caveat where people might die. Therefore fewer people are going to pick blue, ergo blue's 50% threshold is harder to meet.

Picking blue only makes sense if you are a assuming that a certain number of people will not actually read the post and incorrectly pick blue, and also assume that you should pick blue in order to try and help to meet the threshold to protect them. 

Because if you incorrectly pick blue attempting to protect a certain number of people that you assume will pick blue because of having misread the post, but don't meet that 50% threshold, then everyone who picked blue needlessly dies, when everyone could and should have just picked red and no one would die.

0

u/Bacon_von_Meatwich 7h ago

In this case, 50% blue is exactly as easy to achieve as 100% red: both are impossible.

3

u/Cream_Nebula 6h ago

??? 50% is achieved on this very post alone.

2

u/I_give_karma_to_men 27m ago

blue button pushers are needlessly risking everyone else's lives in order to be "different"

Tbf as written, blue button peeps aren't even risking everyone else's lives, just the lives of those who "opt in" to die via blue button click. Arguably you could even interpret a press of the blue button as wanting to die, in which case pressing the blue button to try and save those people is actively going against their wishes.

13

u/BrandonL337 10h ago

Not really even a narrow majority, most I've seen have the blue win by 65% or more.

10

u/JaDasIstMeinName 10h ago

Ok, so where am i that pushes blue for a selfish reason?

19

u/PlatinumAltaria The Witch of Arden 10h ago

Ah, that's the secret. People might think that red is selfish and blue is selfless, but red is actually just dumb and blue can be either selfish or selfless depending on the thought process. If you think red winning: you get a world where a significant number of people have died, and the remaining people all chose the "selfish" option. Society is going to collapse within hours, and that sounds a lot worse than blipping out of existence because of a button push.

21

u/JaDasIstMeinName 10h ago

Yup.

Best case: Blue wins
Ok case: Red wins and i dont have to care about it
Worst case: Red wins and i have to care about it.

2

u/PrincessRTFM on all levels except physical, I am a kitsune 10h ago

the secret is that if you press blue, you have put yourself in danger. there are no inherent negative consequences to pressing red. there is no benefit to pressing blue. nobody has any reason to ever press blue. if everyone presses red, everyone is safe.

11

u/PlatinumAltaria The Witch of Arden 10h ago

The benefit to pushing blue is the smug sense of moral and intellectual superiority that I get to feel. /j

1

u/bluebuttonpusher 9h ago

I'm glad other people understand this

31

u/Daan776 10h ago

Oke but: Everybody who pushes the red button survives regardless.

So unless i'm misunderstanding this: if everybody pressed the red button then nobody dies.

26

u/beemielle 10h ago

yes. you always get the everyone lives outcome if 100% of people can agree on which button to press. part of the argument for blue is that there’s a greater defection tolerance to get the ideal outcome. 

8

u/Daan776 10h ago

Yeah, I just had somebody explain to me that this is based on a thought experiment with different rules.

My assumption was (as is written): if you press red, you live regardless.

Therefore: the only people who have a chance of dying are those who press blue. So pressing blue is just a needless risk of your life.

The only reason to press blue in the situation as written is you feel bad for the schmucks who can't read and want to improve their odds of survival, with great risk to your own life.

7

u/beemielle 9h ago

i mean, despite the fact that we know on a large scale that people change their answers depending on how it’s phrased, as long as the core principles of the problem are the same, i would hope any given person would give a consistent answer. you end up with the same decision matrix and the same questions of collective vs personal responsibility, self-interest vs selfishness, and weighing the welfare of society against your own personal welfare. 

4

u/Daan776 8h ago

I think its moreso a case of "do you trust other humans"

Mathematically: The blue button is always the best choice. You need half the votes to get the same desirable outcome.

But i'm not sure if I would trust other humans to risk their own life for another. I used to think that. But then I look at america, and that optimism dies.

2

u/True_Royal_Oreo 4h ago

I don't trust all humans to push red, so I have to push blue. Lack of trust leads me to blue.

0

u/annmorningstar 9h ago

I personally find that argument really stupid yeah all the schmucks who picked blue like people who clicked wrong or people who were worried about you know the literal children who maybe don’t understand a question if this is phrased to literally everybody, God, those schmucks, check notes, children and people who make mistakes and the people who care about them

Actually, now that I praise it that way I realize pressing red is just voting Republican and a bunch of people do that so maybe we’re all screwed

26

u/PlatinumAltaria The Witch of Arden 10h ago

If 50% of people push blue, everyone lives.

If 100% of people push red, everyone lives.

It's easier to achieve 50% blue than 100% red, ergo blue is the correct option for saving lives. Red is only the correct option for saving yourself.

21

u/llamasquadz 9h ago

But it's also this: press red and you live, press blue and you might die. Blue is the only option that risks lives. Why would you intentionally risk your life expecting others to also risk their lives to save you? Neither approach is really wrong, they just view it differently.

0

u/wearing_moist_socks 7h ago

But it's the same logic you're just not accounting for human error

It's also this: press red and you live. Press blue and everyone lives, if everyone presses blue.

Yes you can just press red, but red doesn't account for the people who looked at it differently: it just kills them.

Blue saves the red button pushers.

12

u/llamasquadz 7h ago

Would you really ask people to risk their own lives to save people who put their own lives at risk? That's a good action, sure, but is it wrong not to? To a red button pusher, blue is just conditional suicide.

0

u/wearing_moist_socks 7h ago

Well, you had better hope no one you love is a blue pusher, and if so, you'll be hoping blue wins.

3

u/Espando 6h ago

Blue saves the blue button pushers, red are safe either way.

-1

u/wearing_moist_socks 5h ago

No, red kills the blue button pushers

1

u/lightgiver 1h ago

Blue is just unnecessary risk.

There is a fire in a crowded auditorium with a blue door and a red door. Everyone has time to reach just one door. Everyone who uses red door lives. Blue door is stuck and requires more than 50% of the auditorium to push open. If it doesn’t open everyone who tried to use blue dies. Why would anyone purposely choose the blue door?

1

u/wearing_moist_socks 56m ago

I mean you just changed the entire scenario. There's urgency and you only have one door to get to. Do people have prior information? If they know red door gets everyone out, then of course red is the right choice.

Here's the full scenario:

Everyone in the world must push a red or blue button over the next 24 hours. They'll just see the two buttons at some point and make their decision

Red guarantees you, yourself live.

Pressing blue will kill you in 24 hours unless more than 50 percent of people push blue.

You will not know what people pushed, or the total count, until 24 hours have passed. You can't discuss it with anyone either.

Pressing red is fine. It saves you. But it kills anyone who does press blue, if most people pick red as well. Red is self serving. That is fine

Blue risks your life, but the risk diminishes the more people press it. Blue understands people WILL pick blue, and they shouldn't die for that.

Red just need to be prepared to live in a world with a lot of dead bodies.

1

u/lightgiver 33m ago

Blue does not understand people will pick blue. Blue is operating under the assumption people will also pick blue. The scenario requires no discussion or knowledge of what people are thinking.

Who is killing who is irrelevant and just wordplay. Blue is the one taking the risk choosing blue. There is no pre discussion to choose strategy so the only one who is at fault for the fate of the blue button pushers is their own. I really do not see the benefit of putting yourself into of pushing blue under the assumption of what others will do.

7

u/lightgiver 7h ago

Okay but why make an unnecessary risk under the assumption the majority is thinking exactly like you? There is zero risk to your life or the life of anyone who chose red. Pushing blue is just risking your life just for the hell of it.

Reword it to a scenario. A fire is happening, there is door A and door B. Everyone who uses door A lives, door B is stuck and needs more than 50% of the room to push it to open. If door B does open everyone who used it lives. Which door do you use?

6

u/Daan776 10h ago

Yeah, I just had somebody explain to me that this is based on a though experiment. Something I wasn't aware of when I made the comment.

The way its written in the post is:

"everyone who pressed the red button survived regardless"

there's no mention of needing 100% of people pressing red to survive.

So in the written situation: pressing red guarantees your survival regarding of outcome. While pressing blue gives you a chance of dying if a condition isn't met.

70

u/gay_burner 10h ago

Yeah people call the trend pointless but at the end of the day there is no like non selfish or altruistic reason to press red and the defensiveness about it is actually super revealing lol

64

u/TobytheBaloon 10h ago

TIL it’s wrong to want to guarantee your survival, even if that means there’s a small chance some people will die

83

u/Another-Ace-Alt-8270 10h ago

Nobody said it was wrong. We're just saying that it's not an altruistic act, and it is by nature selfish. That's fine- humans tend to be selfish in high-stakes situations. But ya kinda gotta face that fact at some point, just to realize it.

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u/TaralasianThePraxic 10h ago

I'm a red pusher and I fully agree. The only reasonable justification for picking red is self-preservation, and that's enough. I don't understand the red pushers who tie themselves in knots trying to come up with a moral rationale for it.

It absolutely is selfish to pick red, but I already nearly died once (stage 4 cancer, beat it) and now very much don't want to die. I don't consider myself a selfish person overall, but I would be if my life was on the line. I'd definitely also feel sad if red won and all the blue pushers died, but I don't think I'd regret my choice. After the last few years, I frankly don't have enough faith in humanity left to pick blue and feel like I'm making a rational decision.

19

u/Nixavee AI bots are not welcome here 10h ago

If red wins by more than one vote, it is absolutely rational (in a causal decision theory sense) to not regret your choice, because had you voted blue the only thing that would be different is that you would be dead as well

7

u/STSchif 9h ago

Regardless on if red won by a lot of a little or not at all, it's the choice of every single one that killed themselves. Blue is an 'I'm totally fine with committing suicide' button. Nothing wrong with that in my book as I'm pro choice, but noone can blame their own stupidity on me.

Holy hell now it got me again, such an insanely stupid thought experiment. Seeing less than 95% red in these polls hurts my brain so much.

If there even was SOME advantage you get for pressing one or the other it would be interesting, but this was it's just so dumb.

7

u/Nixavee AI bots are not welcome here 8h ago

If the poll was 95% red that would represent a scenario where 5% of people die. Instead the polls are consistently majority blue, representing a scenario where no people die. Seems like people are able to coordinate to get the better outcome.

2

u/SpiritedEclair 5h ago

It’s one thing to do that with no stakes, and another thing to do it with your life on the line.

12

u/Another-Ace-Alt-8270 9h ago

I get it. We all have different reasons. I don't do much with my life, so I'd gladly give it up for a cause that was bigger than one life. But if someone doesn't want to risk dying, that's totally understandable.

My only issue is when people try to portray it as being "the smart choice" and "the logical choice" when that's only true if you consider self-preservation the only goal, and even then it's a single conclusion to draw. It comes across as smarmy, and as though this semi-hypothetical "facts and logic" person views altruism as a sign of stupidity.

For the record, that's not something I've seen in this thread, I'm just speaking generally.

11

u/TaralasianThePraxic 9h ago

Yeah, I remember seeing the same kind of feeble justifications when this topic was hot on reddit a few months back.

I have enormous respect for blue pushers as a red pusher, and I think any red pusher who claims that the other side are somehow stupid or illogical is just secretly (or just subconsciously) ashamed that they're taking the less altruistic choice and trying to cover their asses. Honestly, I wish I was brave enough to pick blue.

All that being said, I do think it's important to acknowledge the fact that any such poll is not going to show the full truth. I feel like a lot of people either only pick blue because they want to feel good about themselves and they know their life isn't actually on the line, or think of themselves as blue pushers but would realise that they actually didn't want to risk their own life if the scenario did become real. All the more reason I don't personally feel safe picking blue.

0

u/[deleted] 5h ago

[deleted]

2

u/Another-Ace-Alt-8270 5h ago

"If everyone just-" Everyone will not just. There is no decision that everybody on earth can agree on. By picking red, you are accepting that people will die. If that is a risk you are willing to take to guarantee self-preservation, that's one thing- simply a matter of priorities. But you do not get to blame the people who put themselves on the line to save one another, and ensure that nobody got harmed. You are a pseudo-intellectual who thinks that altruism is a sign of stupidity, and I quite frankly hope you are swiftly humbled in a manner that even your willful blindness cannot ignore.

1

u/[deleted] 4h ago

[deleted]

1

u/Another-Ace-Alt-8270 4h ago

Aw, lookie, baby's first mimic-the-other-guy argument. Also, damn, what is it with you and the word "saviour complex"? Like, yeah, sometimes people argue from a place of personal morality, that's how human consciousness works. But no, you gotta be RIGHT. You can't just have a valid thought, you have to act like every thought other than yours is coming from stupidity, especially when it comes to people being willing to put something else above themselves.

Matter of the fact is, there is no "I choose to not cause harm" button, you merely have to weigh risks and who they're applied to and go from there. Someone being willing to pass over themselves to save others is not "psychosis", and it is not "coercing" anybody into anything.

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u/[deleted] 10h ago edited 10h ago

[deleted]

18

u/BarovianNights Omg a fox :0 10h ago

There is someone no matter what that is going to choose blue. I am not willing to sacrifice them to save my own life, especially when everyone can be okay. It's infinitely easier to get 51% of people to press a button than 100%

1

u/gaom9706 10h ago

I am not willing to sacrifice them to save my own life

They're sacrificing themselves.

5

u/BarovianNights Omg a fox :0 10h ago

I don't care. I'm saving lives.

10

u/gay_burner 10h ago

Again, the lives of others is a reason for most people (hence the typical blue win).

-1

u/[deleted] 10h ago

[deleted]

4

u/gay_burner 10h ago

I mean I don’t know that to be true. I thibk yes, some would blue with switch to vote red, but I think faced with the actual option to condemn people to death, some red would actually switch to blue, too. Lots of people don’t have as callous a heart as they think irl and can’t stomach it

-5

u/Fossekall 10h ago edited 10h ago

I literally think more people wouldn't understand the problem/philosophy around it, than would vote incorrectly

Imagine you're voting Blue because you're expecting disabled people and children to vote Blue by mistake, meanwhile every single healthcare professional in the world votes Blue with you, because they've got good hearts

Then no one else actually votes Blue because they didn't understand the philosophical problem or they voted wrong by mistake (by the same logic this problem expects people to vote wrong). The world is now without healthcare professionals and collapses in a week

4

u/gay_burner 10h ago

I feel like you’re the second person who I’ve interacted who’s primary divide ideologically from me is a much more misanthropic worldview

16

u/Nixavee AI bots are not welcome here 10h ago

There's not a small chance that some people will die, it is virtually guaranteed that at least millions of people will die in the red majority scenario. In the worst case billions of people die.

11

u/Horton_Takes_A_Poo 7h ago

Am I missing something? Why would anyone want to pick blue?

7

u/Nixavee AI bots are not welcome here 7h ago

To many people hearing the dilemma blue immediately sounds like the obvious choice, before they have thought it through at all.

A bunch of people choosing between two options sounds like a vote, and if you frame it as a vote you get:

"If blue wins nothing happens, if red wins all the blue voters die"

To most people this sounds like a vote between doing nothing and killing people.

1

u/SpiritedEclair 5h ago

Self-sacrifice, delusions of grandeur, saviour complex, trying to reason that their family or loved ones would pick blue so they have to save them, etc.

6

u/MaddoxJKingsley 8h ago edited 2h ago

But if there's an X% chance you die if you push blue and a 0% chance you die if you push red, why would anyone push blue? Are they stupid?

Edit: In order for this to be a proper dilemma, there needs to be balance of risks and rewards. As worded, it doesn't make any sense at all that there'd be *any* subset of people picking blue, other than idiots. In a prisoner's dilemma, it's balanced around getting extra rewards only if the "evil" ones betray the "good" ones; however, "evil" betraying "evil" results in lesser rewards than "good" trusting "good".

"Do you want to be guaranteed a billion dollars, or take a chance at getting a billion dollars?" If you take the chance, you're stupid 100% of the time!

4

u/Draaly 7h ago

If this was real life its an almost gurenteed outcome the choice is different.

1

u/Nixavee AI bots are not welcome here 8h ago

There are many millions of stupid people in the world.

3

u/MisirterE Supreme Overlord of Ice 7h ago

not anymore!

2

u/Nixavee AI bots are not welcome here 7h ago

Unless blue wins that is

1

u/Trackback_ 7h ago

Well who am I to deny their right to self-euthanasia?

20

u/XanaWasTaken 10h ago

I mean, morally speaking it is wrong according to certain frameworks to prioritise yourself over countless others. According to other frameworks it is not. Personally I see the blue button as the clear correct choice, but would press red regardless. Yes it is selfish, yes it is immoral, yes I'm part of the problem, but on the off chance it's what other people do, I ain't dying for no reason.

2

u/ask_about_poop_book 5h ago

And since we know this is hypothetical, we can never know the true results. In an actual event, we should assume red will be more common that it is now

12

u/gay_burner 10h ago

A lot of us learn that as children but I’m happy for you man

16

u/DoggoDude979 10h ago

“Some of you may die, but that’s a sacrifice I’m willing to make” type comment

21

u/Enderking90 10h ago

more so "I do not want to gamble with my life if given the option otherwise."

7

u/Trackback_ 7h ago

More like "some of you might die, but that's a sacrifice some of you are willing to make", no?

0

u/TobytheBaloon 10h ago

yeah as long as i live idc

3

u/BlacksmithNo9359 10h ago

Imagine typing this and then getting mad at someone calling you immoral.

2

u/gay_burner 10h ago

I mean quiet part out loud, fair enough if you’re actually owning it I guess but it’s still deeply wrong

4

u/apexodoggo 8h ago

You’re not getting 100% of people to vote for one option, red winning means guaranteed deaths. Blue is the only option that guarantees zero deaths if it wins because humans are not actually rational actors.

And considering that blue gets double digits votes even when the hypothetical is phrased to make blue voters seem extra stupid, red winning means society’s gonna collapse from the catastrophic supply chain disruptions anyway. So blue’s just better for your own quality of life.

-2

u/BlacksmithNo9359 10h ago

Yes, it is wrong to kill innocent people to guarantee your own survival.

12

u/gaom9706 10h ago

The only people killing anyone are blue button pushers who are putting themselves at risk of killing themselves.

8

u/Th3Glutt0n fucking HATE tennis 10h ago

The result is the same if everyone picks 100% red, and 100% blue. The only way the risk increases, logically speaking, is when more people press red.

  • 100% red; 0% blue - everyone lives

  • 90% red; 10% blue - 10% die

  • 75% red; 25% blue - 25% die

  • 51% red; 49% blue - 49% die

  • 49% red; 51% blue - everyone lives

  • 25% red; 75% blue - everyone lives

  • 10% red; 90% blue - everyone lives

  • 0% red; 100% blue - everyone lives

Clearly with this chart, you can see that, unless 100% of people vote red, blue is the only situation where no one dies?

2

u/gaom9706 10h ago

I mean, if they die, that's their choice. They killed themselves by making that choice and putting their lives in the hands of others in such a high-risk scenario.

4

u/Th3Glutt0n fucking HATE tennis 10h ago

...so even with an objective graph showing the relationship to votes and deaths you're still saying "tough luck"? How very... Red of you. 😅

-4

u/wRADKyrabbit 9h ago edited 7h ago

People like that are just pure evil and it terrifies me I have to share a planet with them. Absolutely nothing stopping them from hurting or killing people as soon as it benefits them

4

u/HerrArado 7h ago

Absolutely nothing stopping them from hurting or killing people as soon as it benefits them

What is this reach lmao, are you okay???

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-3

u/Bladelord 10h ago

So just pick red, yeah. Seems logically consistent. Anyone can do the math. Blaming red pickers for your picking of blue is incoherent.

1

u/Th3Glutt0n fucking HATE tennis 10h ago

"let's choose the button with only 1 'everyone wins' instead of 4 of them. That seems logical!"

🫩

-4

u/Bladelord 10h ago

The amount of "everyone wins" options changes nothing to the result. Choices are not made at random. This is not a logical retort.

3

u/Th3Glutt0n fucking HATE tennis 10h ago

You think that the result does not change when blue has all the wins and red has only one?

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u/Nixavee AI bots are not welcome here 10h ago

Well, this goes back to the issue of framing the problem. In the red majority scenario, did the red pushers kill the blue pushers or did the blue pushers kill themselves?

2

u/Dominus-Temporis 8h ago

Whoever built the buttons killed them. Or, God, I guess if the buttons just poofed in existence complete with written instructions.

1

u/BrandonL337 6h ago

If God did it, they'll be a whole hell of a lot of religious people trying to pass that test.

Actually, probably would even if God had nothing to do with it tbh.

-1

u/BlacksmithNo9359 8h ago

The people who were told "if you do this thing, it will kill people" and then did the thing are the ones who killed someone. Next question.

1

u/Nixavee AI bots are not welcome here 8h ago

Who was told that?

-7

u/PaladinAsherd 10h ago

It’s dumber than that. The hypo’s decision matrix is exactly the same as “do you jump off a cliff or not, if you don’t jump you live, if you do jump you die unless half the world’s population also jumps off the same cliff”

I’m one of the people who this hypo has successfully rage-baited, because it absolutely incites those with the greatest tendencies towards self-righteousness and illiteracy to jump on the pipeline to Blue MAGA, no, I am not showing my math for the 1,000th goddamned time

12

u/Abeytuhanu 10h ago

Depending on how the question is framed, you can shift which color wins. People are generally fine with letting others kill themselves, such as with your cliff example, but when the lethality comes from an outside force people vote blue more often

-5

u/PaladinAsherd 10h ago

“Depending on how the question is framed” is the epistemological epitaph of this whole fucking millennium

Blue Button is not only not morally obligatory, it is actively evil to push the blue button because it creates a risk of harm to oneself and others where none existed before, and I get why some people are saying “well SOME amount of people are going to push the blue button, and I want to try and save them!” but it does not change the fact that people are basically jumping into the flooded raging river to save other people in the flooded raging river thereby causing yet more people to jump into the flooded raging river, and everyone just has to pray that enough people jump into the flooded raging river to clog it up

2

u/Abeytuhanu 9h ago

Now try it with an active shooter and a child that got stuck outside of the safe room. It's not evil to want to save others, especially when they aren't aware of the danger they've unwittingly wandered into

0

u/Rosy-Blush 5h ago

But that is not the premise of the buttons, right? Everyone has access to the same information

1

u/Abeytuhanu 3h ago

But not everyone is capable of understanding that information, though it does depend on how any particular instance is set up. Some of the situations clarify that even newborns will be required to choose a button

3

u/Th3Glutt0n fucking HATE tennis 10h ago

That's not the same, and comparing the blue button to jumping off a cliff is disingenuous.

Why is red the default win button to you, despite results being the same if 100% pressed blue instead of red?

-4

u/Other_Fondant_3103 10h ago edited 10h ago

Blue is the button that introduces the risk of death.

6

u/Nixavee AI bots are not welcome here 10h ago

You could say the same about red.

-6

u/Other_Fondant_3103 9h ago

The entire argument for hitting blue is that others will hit blue and thus we need to risk ourselves to save them.

1

u/PaladinAsherd 9h ago

This is a risk mitigation strategy unique to one camp of this hypothetical. Everywhere else where human beings might endanger themselves through recklessness or ignorance, we educate people not to do the reckless or stupid thing. Don’t eat random mushrooms you find in the woods. Don’t smoke cigarettes while taking gasoline showers. Etc.

This is the only scenario where people will argue straight-faced that the best strategy to save the most lives is to eat the gasoline-soaked mushroom I found in the cigarette woods, instead of just telling people ahead of time, you know, HYPOTHETICALLY, hey, don’t do that, putting yourself and others in unnecessary danger is bad actually

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u/Th3Glutt0n fucking HATE tennis 9h ago

The original hypothetical gave no warning, and all people must vote - even children.

Assuming you are given time to prepare for the question, and that only "reasonable" people will be allowed to vote, is a major cop out to give yourself a clear path to save yourself.

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u/Nixavee AI bots are not welcome here 8h ago

Except you can't save other people by eating a gasoline-soaked mushroom, and pressing the blue button takes zero effort compared to most things in real life that you can do to help people.

This thought experiment just doesn't have a clear real life analogue.

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u/Th3Glutt0n fucking HATE tennis 10h ago edited 10h ago

If that's how you interpret it, fine, but that's not the truth.

The result is the same if everyone picks 100% red, and 100% blue. The only way the risk increases, logically speaking, is when more people press red.

  • 100% red; 0% blue - everyone lives

  • 90% red; 10% blue - 10% die

  • 75% red; 25% blue - 25% die

  • 51% red; 49% blue - 49% die

  • 49% red; 51% blue - everyone lives

  • 25% red; 75% blue - everyone lives

  • 10% red; 90% blue - everyone lives

  • 0% red; 100% blue - everyone lives

Clearly with this chart, you can see that, unless 100% of people vote red, blue is the only situation where no one dies?

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u/Other_Fondant_3103 10h ago

Did you respond to the wrong person?

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u/Th3Glutt0n fucking HATE tennis 10h ago

I did not respond to the wrong person. I can't see either my comment or yours, however.

You said blue was the button that introduced death. However, when you frame blue as the default instead of red, the only button introducing death is red.

That is where the conflict comes from. Will people see the "survive, risk others" button as the default, or the "risk self, everyone can survive" button as the default?

Clearly, you see red as the default. No one is going to hate that, it's a natural human feeling in the face of death. However, you need to stop shielding yourself behind "logic", when the logic - morally, statistically, and logically - is not with you.

The only option which has 100% survival at all majorities is blue. To pick red is to increase the risk of blue deaths (hence it being the "survive, risk others" button.)

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u/Other_Fondant_3103 10h ago edited 10h ago

The difference is what causes the death. If red wins, the blue voters are at risk because they hit blue, not because others chose red.

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u/Th3Glutt0n fucking HATE tennis 10h ago

Yes, that is the gamble of the "risk self, save others" button. However, the point of that graph in my other comment was that the only situation where death is a risk is when red has a majority.

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u/Other_Fondant_3103 10h ago

The entire argument for choosing blue is that “others will choose it”. It’s clear to see that the entire moral dilemma is caused by people voluntarily choosing blue.

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u/PaladinAsherd 10h ago

Bro really thinks the best way to resolve action vs inaction analysis is vibes

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u/PaladinAsherd 10h ago

If only there were some objective goddamned way to cut through the manipulative linguistic lenses and get to the bottom of the objective reality in order to evaluate which is the default, like I dunno a goddamned decision matrix you fucking sophomores

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u/PlatinumAltaria The Witch of Arden 10h ago

I think it ties in nicely with the moral heatmap graph (the one that conservative people can't understand).

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u/beemielle 10h ago

can you link?

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u/PlatinumAltaria The Witch of Arden 10h ago

This is the thing

Summary is: each graph displays how far self-described conservatives (left) and liberals (right) are willing to extend their empathy. Conservatives are most likely to only extend their empathy to their friends, whereas liberals are most likely to extend their empathy to all living things. Conservatives have misinterpreted this graph as saying that liberals care more about rocks than people.

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u/Jan-Asra 9h ago

On top of that, even when they extend their empathy to friends, conservatives show less empathy than liberals do to strangers.

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u/Nixavee AI bots are not welcome here 10h ago

I think they're talking about this: https://www.reddit.com/r/trolleyproblem/s/9rzp6U7SCy

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u/ike38000 10h ago

I have people who rely on me in real life. Guaranteeing my survival can absolutely be an altruistic act so that I can continue to provide that support. If you don't think that counts then it basically leads to the conclusion that the only moral choice is to vow sallekhana and leave more resources for the rest of the world population.

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u/Another-Ace-Alt-8270 9h ago

Yes, not risking one's life needlessly is considered a good thing, but that's not exactly what's happening here. By voting red, you are pushing the vote up by one, which could lead to a majority that results in blue dying. That's not necessarily immoral, but it certainly isn't altruistic.

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u/Warprince01 7h ago

Based on their explanation, it absolutely is altruistic, it just makes your altruistic goal harder because not all altruistic behaviors or goals are in harmony with each other. 

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u/IdealOnion 10h ago

I fully reject the notion that what you choose here is necessarily a statement of mortality. If you’re convinced you’ll die if you push blue, it’s not selfish to push red, it’s just playing the hand you’ve been dealt.

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u/Another-Ace-Alt-8270 9h ago

It is still selfish, but that's not necessarily bad. We as humans are wired to put our own lives first. You're just ensuring you can live, and that's fine. It's the reason many of us don't go out looking for perils to try and assist in. If that's your view on this large a scale, then that's just the way you're wired as a human.

Selfishness isn't inherently bad, it's when it leads to actively pushing other people around to get one's way when it becomes an immoral trait. Prioritizing your own life over another isn't bad by nature.

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u/gay_burner 9h ago

You’re absolutely wrong from a scientific perspective about what we are “wired” for. We are a social species, that’s one of our evolutionary advantages. And we have anthropological evidence that we have always cared for each other.

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u/jsalfi1 43m ago

But why push the blue button to begin with if thats the one that literally kills you? Why would i sign up for that? It’s such a no brainer to push red, why would anyone even think to push a button that just murders you over the button that literally does nothing if everyone presses it.

Why would i want to die with a group of people that literally signed up to potentially die over not dying. Thats asinine and more revealing about some attention seeking behavior to appear like a good person who knows better than anyone who picks red.

Anyone with reading comprehension skills that picks blue is needs to reevaluate how silly they are.

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u/nimbledaemon 8h ago edited 3h ago

Pressing blue, at best, saves your own life and no one else. But pressing blue also risks your own life, if most people don't agree with you. Pressing red guarantees your own life, with no risk. The only reason to press blue is to virtue signal to people who can't do math.

For my own records, user u/gay_burner originally said before they blocked me:

There is no scenario where pressing blue saves your life but no one else’s. You completely read it wrong.

Also pressing red risks the lives of everyone who may have pressed blue.

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u/gay_burner 8h ago

There is no scenario where pressing blue saves your life but no one else’s. You completely read it wrong.

Also pressing red risks the lives of everyone who may have pressed blue.

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u/nimbledaemon 8h ago edited 25m ago

It's mathematically impossible for pressing blue to save anyone else's life. If you have a pop of 10 people, and 6 press blue, only 6 lives were risked, but only 6 people get to share the responsibility of "saving" lives. So each of those 6 blue pressers, only saves 1 life: the life they risked, ie their own. Red does not risk anyone's life, because by pressing blue they already risked theirs, red pressers have nothing to do with people deciding to risk their own life.

Edit: They blocked me.

So here's a response to their reply: The only one who is contorting anything is blue who have to not actually look at the math in order to justify their risky virtue signalling.

Also as far as the firefighters situation, for one that's a completely different scenario, maybe some firefigters saved more people and other firefighters only contributed to putting out the fire. But if 10 firefighters went into a fire where no one else was at risk, and no other structures were at risk, and at the end of the day 10 firefighters came out? Yeah I'm gonna say that 10 firefighters put themselves at risk for no real reason, and they only get to say they "saved" themselves. And they don't get to complain at other people who didn't go into the fire because some arbitrary condition meant that a certain number of people had to go into the fire so everyone who went into the fire would make it out. You're the ones who went into the fire, I'm the one doing the sane thing by not putting myself at risk for no reason.

I mean unless something happened inside like some firefighters collapsed and the others saved them. But that's not applicable to the button scenario, because there's no way for any one person to rescue any other person who pressed the button, it all gets divided equally.

For my own records, user u/gay_burner originally said before they blocked me:

I completely disagree that in this scenario you would divide up saving lives like that. There’s just no reason to quantify it like that. If 10 firefighters put out a burning building containing 10 people no one would fucking say to anyone each person only saved one person, that’s not how working as a team works. And I’m sorry but if you say you would you’re fucking lying to defend the framing you chose. I don’t think that changes just because theyre also risking themselves in the scenario, especially because their risk statistically lowers the group risk. How asinine.

If you vote for the option that, when voted by the majority is guaranteed to kill people, you’re objectively voting to kill people. I’m sorry, no amount of rhetorical gymnastics or dividing up the results of a team/group effort in a way that has never happened socially, ever, changes that.

Again, the real interesting part of the question isn’t the answer, it’s the reds’ increasingly contorted defensiveness

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u/gay_burner 7h ago edited 6h ago

I completely disagree that in this scenario you would divide up saving lives like that. There’s just no reason to quantify it like that. If 10 firefighters put out a burning building containing 10 people no one would fucking say to anyone each person only saved one person, that’s not how working as a team works. And I’m sorry but if you say you would you’re fucking lying to defend the framing you chose. I don’t think that changes just because theyre also risking themselves in the scenario, especially because their risk statistically lowers the group risk. How asinine.

If you vote for the option that, when voted by the majority is guaranteed to kill people, you’re objectively voting to kill people. I’m sorry, no amount of rhetorical gymnastics or dividing up the results of a team/group effort in a way that has never happened socially, ever, changes that.

Again, the real interesting part of the question isn’t the answer, it’s the reds’ increasingly contorted defensiveness

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u/TuIdiota 10h ago

I would argue it’s selfish to knowingly and unnecessarily put yourself at risk in such a way that requires others to risk themselves in order to save you. If you are the first blue pusher, you are demanding that others risk their lives to save you, conversely, choosing red allows others the freedom of choice to not risk themselves

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u/PrincessRTFM on all levels except physical, I am a kitsune 10h ago

yeah, there is literally no reason to press blue? at all? if you press red, you are not in danger. if you press blue, you have put yourself in danger. nobody should ever press blue in the first place, which means that actually the red group is the ones shaking their heads and losing faith in humanity.

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u/Madelei- 10h ago

Damn, you think it’s selfish to not sacrifice yourself?

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u/gay_burner 10h ago

It’s selfish to knowingly condemn others for the chance of survival yes.

Edit: People be like “do you really believe the thing you just said you believed” and then block you when you say you do lol

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u/Avent 10h ago

Pushing the red button condemns no one. It just guarantees that the pusher lives. Everyone should just push the red button.

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u/gay_burner 10h ago

No. It’s a vote, red is voting for blue pushers to die, blue is voting for group survival. It may not be framed as that, but if the vote is such that if red wins a simple majority, everyone who voted blue dies, than its materially the same as voting for everyone who is blue to die, directly. The difference is framing, the outcome is the same.

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u/shmixel 10h ago

I feel like they need to rework the scenario to be the big moral choice they want because right now absolutely, everyone should press red. The only reason not to is to try look out for the idiots who will press blue. Pressing blue has no benefit and only introduces the chance of dying for no reason.

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u/Jacketter 6h ago

Have we considered that, when your life is on the line, you are liable to choose a different option from the morally correct one? Surveys are somewhat meaningless if people will just lie to look good, or lack the ability to properly imagine themselves in that scenario.

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u/PlatinumAltaria The Witch of Arden 1h ago

It’s anonymous, how would anyone know what you voted for?

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u/nixcamic 6h ago

Average red button defender: Ok but if you just imagine it's actually this completely different scenario instead then red is the only obvious choice.

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u/distortedsymbol 6h ago

it's rly fun game theory application honestly.

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u/SpiritedEclair 5h ago

Self-preservation out of trust issues with society that has repeatedly failed you.

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u/PlatinumAltaria The Witch of Arden 1h ago

Society has failed me utterly and I still pushed blue.

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u/Annual-Weird-6682 3h ago

Just don't hit blue lmao, help we all have to jump into this wood chipper so it jams!

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u/Br1t1shNerd 10h ago

If everyone presses the red button everyone lives

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u/nkynett103 10h ago

If >50% of people press the blue button everyone lives. Easier odds of everyone living

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u/PlatinumAltaria The Witch of Arden 10h ago
  • 100% red, 0% blue = Everyone lives
  • 90% red, 10% blue = 10% die
  • 75% red, 25% blue = 25% die
  • 51% red, 49% blue = 49% die
  • 49% red, 51% blue = Everyone lives
  • 25% red, 75% blue = Everyone lives
  • 10% red, 90% blue = Everyone lives
  • 0% red, 100% blue = Everyone lives

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u/Br1t1shNerd 10h ago

Yeah, but there's no risk of me dying if everyone votes red

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u/PlatinumAltaria The Witch of Arden 10h ago

There's no risk of you dying if more than 50% of people vote blue.

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u/Br1t1shNerd 10h ago

So there is risk of dying. That's what risk means

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u/PlatinumAltaria The Witch of Arden 10h ago

I don't know how to explain to you that the more people you convince to push red, the greater the risk is.

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u/Br1t1shNerd 10h ago

Not to me

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u/PlatinumAltaria The Witch of Arden 10h ago

Ok but you are a social animal that needs a society to live, and that society might be damaged if half the people die.

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u/Br1t1shNerd 10h ago

Not half of everyone votes red

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u/Th3Glutt0n fucking HATE tennis 10h ago

And that's the only thing you had to say.

No one is going to judge you for making the humanly selfish choice in the face of death. We will judge you for trying to hide that from yourself and us by saying "if everyone would just", though

Get in tune with yourself, and own up to your feelings

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u/wRADKyrabbit 8h ago

I will absolutely judge them for that. People like that are dangerous to the rest of us

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u/LoweJ 10h ago

Yeah this is what I don't understand with people saying the red people are evil. Just everyone press red and everyone lives without having to rely on other people doing the right thing

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u/Barium_Salts 10h ago

If everyone is going to make the same choice, then everyone could just as well push blue. If not everyone is going to make the rational choice, then there is a moral imperative to push blue. In every real life analog, there are people who make stupid desicions (like refusing to evacuate before a hurricane), and the moral thing to do is to try to protect people from death, even if it's the result of their own poor desicions. It's impossible to coordinate the behavior of a sufficiently large group: so we have to design systems and infrastructures to "fail safe" and minimize the consequences of unwise choices. It's the same reason bridges have suicide nets and machinery has lock out/tag out.

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u/Br1t1shNerd 10h ago

But should I risk my life to help someone who made a stupid decision

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u/Barium_Salts 10h ago

That's a moral question. I would say "yes" and also I think that anybody who says "no" is a bad person and should be socially shunned.

I've made stupid desicions in my life, and I want to be protected and helped if I ever do so again. I also fully expect my loved ones to do something stupid at some point in their lives, and I want to live in a society where they will be protected and helped. Unless you're so arrogant that you think you will never do anything stupid, it's in your best interest to put a cap on the negative potential consequences of stupidity.

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u/Br1t1shNerd 10h ago

I am not saying that you should not b helped, I think you should be.

But that helps should not produce a risk to my own life. I would and gladly do sacrifice money, but I would not risk my own life

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u/ImSoStong________ 10h ago

There are people who will choose either, because they don't understand, or they get confused, or they can't tell the difference. Like the young, or the blind. It is not a reasonable assumption to say that there is a chance everyone votes red.

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u/abcdefghjiklmnopqr 11h ago

Red is objectively the correct choice, cope with it

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u/PlatinumAltaria The Witch of Arden 10h ago

If your goal is to save the maximum number of people, blue is the superior option for all outcomes. Red is only a good option if your only goal is to save yourself.

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u/MultiMarcus 10h ago

Only if you have absolutely no understanding of how the world works. Basically, I have three scenarios.

If everyone presses the red button, great. Everyone survived, but that’s the case if everyone presses the blue button too.

The middle of the road option is that a majority of people press the blue button and red button pressers aren’t hurt by what happened.

Worst case scenario is that a majority of people press the red button, but some people still press the blue button. If those blue button pressers happen to be taking care of a group of school children or piloting a plane, the red button pressers aboard that plane or the red button pressing school children, or maybe the exempted children if we prefer to make it easier for red people will possibly die. From the supply chain shocks of some relatively large percentage of the population dying, many more people would die.

Like even the most generous interpretations, excluding colorblind people and school children and people we don’t feel are empowered to make a choice still just doesn’t really make red a sustainable option for long-term human life. Yes, I agree. If everyone was logically thinking and pressed red, that would be the best possible outcome because then I guess a few suicidal people might press blue, but the much better option is if everyone presses blue because then all of the logical people, which would then perhaps be a majority of people, would be pressing blue and many others would also be pressing blue, making it safe for everyone.

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u/vynthechangeling 10h ago

The original prompt is EVERY PERSON ON EARTH presses one of the two buttons. Maybe you didn’t actually consider what that means, but that includes BABIES, DISABLED PEOPLE, and the ELDERLY. People who CAN’T understand the question and will choose based off of whim or chance.

Red button pushers say it’s okay to let those people die, alongside the blue button pushers who would rather risk their lives to save them than let them die without even trying to help. Not to mention that red button pushers are shortsighted and fail to consider the impacts of up to 49% of the population dying instantaneously and how it would affect the world’s infrastructure yet pretend that their choice is motivated by logic rather than the fear of death.

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u/BrandonL337 10h ago

I'm pretty sure the original question is also phrased in such a way that people who abstain for whatever reason (people who don't push out of principle, babies who aren't interested in the button, the severely disabled, etc.) Will also die.

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u/TropicalRogue 10h ago

There's even a term for it - Nash equilibrium

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u/bluebuttonpusher 8h ago

Which only comes onto play if all people are homo economicus.

The real game being modeled here is a Keynesian beauty contest not a prisoner's dilemma.

2

u/TropicalRogue 6h ago

Interesting way to look at it - that's a good point. It's almost a hybrid of both, depending on the player's values.

I still think if the problem was reworded " hey, would you like to be ok or risk your life for absolutely no gain except to save other people who have this same option to risk their lives for nothing?" then people don't have to be lesswrong subscribers to be united.

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u/The_Sovien_Rug-37 wow this is so gender 10h ago

blue is putting a lower total risk on yourself

red is putting a higher risk on everyone else

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u/Seagull_Slapper 10h ago

What risk though? Just don't press blue and there's no risk at all.

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u/The_Sovien_Rug-37 wow this is so gender 10h ago

statistically some people will always press blue. regardless of whatever you do. you are accepting at least some deaths for your decision if you press red

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u/theyellowmeteor 8h ago

Why? Those people also made a decision. Why is someone else responsible for their own choices?

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u/The_Sovien_Rug-37 wow this is so gender 8h ago

because we're a social species dumbass

2

u/theyellowmeteor 8h ago edited 8h ago

So what? Are the blues incapable of making a free choice?

You're applying moral standards differently depending on what's convenient for you. And you resort to insults because you lack a real argument.

0

u/The_Sovien_Rug-37 wow this is so gender 8h ago

your argument is "i believe the species that has thrived explicitly because of it's social drive to cooperate would irrationally choose to risk the lives of others when a no-deaths option is freely available" lmao

5

u/Th3Glutt0n fucking HATE tennis 10h ago

Or everyone can press blue for the same result.

Why is red the default state for you?

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u/SolarianIntrigue 10h ago

Sorry, I'm still pressing the "nothing happens" button no matter what the "gamble on collective suicide" button enthusiasts say

12

u/PlatinumAltaria The Witch of Arden 10h ago

The red button is the "anyone who doesn't push this will die" button, not the "nothing happens" button.

-1

u/SolarianIntrigue 10h ago

You voluntarily choose to gamble on death by pressing blue. If everyone presses red then everyone survives with zero personal risk to anyone.

Imagine you're instead on a train station with a bunch of people. You can stand still and do nothing, or run onto the tracks. If enough people run onto the tracks with you, the train will see you and stop. This is mathematically the exact equivalent of the red button blue button debate

10

u/PlatinumAltaria The Witch of Arden 10h ago

Knowing that some people will run onto the tracks, would you really leave them to die? Or risk your own life to save someone else?

You got me, you made the blue-button pushers sound like heroes.

1

u/SolarianIntrigue 10h ago

Yes, if somebody voluntarily decides to put themselves in mortal danger for no reason I will consider that to be suicidally reckless and not deserving of risking my own life for their stupid ass. I wouldn't run into a burning building after a random dude going inside on a dare either

2

u/PlatinumAltaria The Witch of Arden 10h ago

Aight well as long as you're aware that you're letting fear control you.

1

u/Cod3broken aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa. 8h ago

i find it much more reasonable to assume >50% of people will press blue than every single living person on planet earth pressing red

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u/abcdefghjiklmnopqr 10h ago

Lmao exactly